Big day ahead, to be sure. First round picks #1 Strasburg (Nats), #2 Ackley (Mariners), #3 Tate (Padres), #9 Turner (Tigers) & #30 Washington (Rays) are ALL going down to the wire. Jeez, you think Boras is going to get to take a bathroom break today? I would think he would have gotten one or two of these out of the way just to relieve capacity constraints on the organization. I have a friend who works for a large online flower store, tells me that everyone from the CEO down delivers flowers on Valentine's day. So, I have to wonder if the mail room clerks will be negotiating million dollar deals as we approach midnight.
By all accounts, the Nats have offered a deal surpassing Mark Prior's $10.5m deal from 2001. So the question is, is the biggest contract ever extended through the draft a good enough deal? Boras points out that revenues in baseball have doubled since the Prior deal, so you have to make that adjustment. He also points to free agent signings - can you imagine the frenzy if a 21 year old came out of Cuba throwing the gas that Strasburg does? Surely such a player would command the $50m Boras has reportedly asked for.
The Biz of Baseball does a nice job breaking down Strasburg's projected value and comes away with a 6/30 deal. Ok, I think Boras would live with that. I am not sure the Nats would, though. If the Nats dig in at the $15m range, I dont think the fans will blame them for not completing the deal, and I dont think Boras will take it. So, while most assume that a deal will go down tonight, I am not so sure.
Finally, the always amusing Kenny Powers - uh, sorry, I mean Rob Dibble, had this to say:
Kid, if you want respect you have to earn it, if you want to be hated as much as your agent Scott Boras, hold out and go pitch in independent league baseball.
The choice is really up to you -- hold out and put your progress towards the big leagues, push back time towards arbitration, and oh yea, risk getting hurt in some independent league game, or how about building on being the richest amateur draft pick to date in the history of MLB.